Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
4943711 Expert Systems with Applications 2017 28 Pages PDF
Abstract
We propose a new approach to sort and map relational data and present predictive models - based on network metrics - to assess risk profiles of clients involved in the factoring business. We find that risk profiles can be predicted by using social network metrics. In our dataset, the most dangerous social actors deal with bigger or more frequent financial operations; they are more peripheral in the transactions network; they mediate transactions across different economic sectors and operate in riskier countries or Italian regions. Finally, to spot potential clusters of criminals, we propose a visual analysis of the tacit links existing among different companies who share the same owner or representative. Our findings show the importance of using a network-based approach when looking for suspicious financial operations and potential criminals.
Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering Computer Science Artificial Intelligence
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