Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
5057918 | Economics Letters | 2017 | 4 Pages |
Abstract
â¢Presence of a unit root in individual time series is required for cointegration.â¢Cointegration makes standard unit root tests more likely to reject a unit root null.â¢The paradox arises because cointegration induces a moving average (MA) component.â¢The cointegration-induced MA component causes unit root tests to be oversized.
Cointegration among times series paradoxically makes it more likely that a unit test will reject the unit root null hypothesis on the individual series. This occurs because at least one series in the system has a negative moving average component.
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Economics and Econometrics
Authors
W. Robert Reed, Aaron Smith,