Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
5095929 | Journal of Econometrics | 2015 | 14 Pages |
Abstract
We introduce a tractable class of multi-factor price processes with regime-switching stochastic volatility and jumps, which flexibly adapt to changing market conditions and permit fast option pricing. A small set of structural parameters, whose dimension is invariant to the number of factors, fully specifies the joint dynamics of the underlying asset and options implied volatility surface. We develop a novel particle filter for efficiently extracting the latent state from joint S&P 500 returns and options data. The model outperforms standard benchmarks in- and out-of-sample, and remains robust even in the wake of seemingly large discontinuities such as the recent financial crisis.
Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering
Mathematics
Statistics and Probability
Authors
Laurent E. Calvet, Marcus Fearnley, Adlai J. Fisher, Markus Leippold,