Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
5100005 Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 2006 27 Pages PDF
Abstract
We propose a new test for additive outliers in Gaussian time series. The test statistic has a tractable asymptotic null distribution, namely the Gumbel distribution. It is calculated very simply without reference to parameters of any underlying model. The test is valid for a wide class of underlying stationary Gaussian series, and remains valid if the series being tested is pre-filtered by an invertible ARMA filter. To accelerate the convergence to the Gumbel distribution we introduce modified normalization constants and prove their validity. Simulation studies indicate that the test has reasonable power, comparable with a commonly used existing test.
Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering Mathematics Control and Optimization
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