Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
5109084 | Futures | 2017 | 25 Pages |
Abstract
We suggest an alternative approach - which we term quantitative story-telling - which encourages a major effort in the pre-analytic, pre-quantitative phase of the analysis as to map a socially robust universe of possible frames, which represent different lenses through which to perceive what the problem is. This is followed by an analysis where the emphasis in not on confirmatory checks or system optimization but - the opposite - on an attempt to refute the frames if these violate constraints of feasibility (compatibility with processes outside human control); viability (compatibility with processes under human control), and desirability (compatibility with a plurality of normative considerations relevant to the system's actors).
Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities
Business, Management and Accounting
Business and International Management
Authors
Andrea Saltelli, Mario Giampietro,