Preliminary Research on Aging Population and Flexible Retirement Policy of Shanghai

This paper predicts the trend for the population aged 60 and over the next years by using gray prediction model, using the gray GM (1,1) metabolism model predict the 60 years of age and older population will be increasing at least in the number of 150,000 per year from 2010 to 2015 in Shanghai. Introduce the policy of flexible retirement to measure the number of the elderly population who Reach retirement age but continued employment. Prove the policy’ implementation has enormous favorable foundation.