Bayesian analysis for extreme climatic events: A review

► Bayesian analysis is applied to extreme climatic events with 3 key applications. ► 3 methods (analytical, MCMC, RJMCMC) are reviewed for detecting shifts in a time series of extreme events. ► Mixture Gaussian model is adopted for classifying TC tracks into distinct patterns. ► A Poisson regression model is developed for predicting seasonal TC frequency.