A machine learning approach for characterizing soil contamination in the presence of physical site discontinuities and aggregated samples

Rehabilitation of contaminated soils in urban areas is in high demand because of the appreciation of land value associated with the increased urbanization. Moreover, there are financial incentives to minimize soil characterization uncertainties. Minimizing uncertainty is achieved by providing models that are better representation of the true site characteristics. In this paper, we propose two new probabilistic formulations compatible with Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) and enabling (1) to model the experimental conditions where contaminant concentration is quantified from aggregated soil samples and (2) to model the effect of physical site discontinuities. The performance of approaches proposed in this paper are compared using a Leave One Out Cross-Validation procedure (LOO-CV). Results indicate that the two new probabilistic formulations proposed outperform the standard Gaussian Process Regression.