Development and preliminary evaluation of an integrated field scale model for perennial bioenergy grass ecosystems in lowland areas

Computer models are useful tools for evaluating environmental and economic sustainability of proposed dedicated cellulosic grass ecosystems for biofuel production. This study developed an integrated, field scale, and process-based ecosystem model (DRAINMOD-GRASS) for simulating hydrological processes, soil carbon and nitrogen cycling, and plant growth in cropping systems for producing bioenergy grasses in lowland areas. We tested the model using measurements from three replicated switchgrass (Panicum virgatum) plots located in eastern North Carolina, USA. Results showed that the model accurately predicted 5-year (2009-2013) biomass yield. Predicted daily water table depth closely matched field measurements with Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient of 0.86. The model also accurately predicted temporal dynamics of daily soil moisture and temperature with Nash-Sutcliffe coefficients of 0.7 and 0.9, respectively. Predicted seasonal changes in net N mineralization and nitrification rates were comparable to field measurements in 2011 and 2012.