Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
6963618 | Environmental Modelling & Software | 2014 | 19 Pages |
Abstract
This paper presents a new marine water quality forecasting system for real-time and short-term predictions. The forecasting system comprises an integrated catchment-coastal model and a database management system. The integrated model is validated in an Irish catchment-coastal system using hydrodynamic and water quality data. The forecasting system was then used to provide short-term and real-time forecasts of Escherichia coli (E. coli) and Intestinal Enterococci concentrations (IE) in the near-shore coastal waters of Bray, Ireland. Two hind-cast scenarios were simulated: 5F in which predictions were based on rainfall forecasts only; and I-5F where forecasts of 5F were improved by incorporating real-time data. Results indicate that predictions of E. coli of scenario I-5F are improved. Also predicted IE concentrations by Scenario 5F were comparably higher than the I-5F predications, but due to the wide scatter of observed IE concentrations, the superiority of one scenario over the second could not be definitively determined.
Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering
Computer Science
Software
Authors
Zeinab Bedri, Aisling Corkery, John J. O'Sullivan, Marcos X. Alvarez, Anders Chr. Erichsen, Louise A. Deering, Katalin Demeter, Gregory M.P. O'Hare, Wim G. Meijer, Bartholomew Masterson,