Environmental impact assessment based on dynamic fuzzy simulation

A new “quick scan” method for an expert-/stakeholder-based impact assessment approach is introduced. This approach aims to reduce the complexity of models, to simulate and visualize the system dynamics and to provide a basis for guided discussion with stakeholders. The approach is based on dynamic fuzzy models that can be understood easily and developed by experts and understood and adapted by stakeholders (“white box models”). This open modeling process also forms the basis of the credibility of the simulation results. The quick scan approach is supported by an interactive simulation tool that includes optimization and uncertainty analysis as open source software.