Uncertainty in the river export modelling of pesticides and transformation products

GSA revealed that half-lives and sorption parameters as well as half-lives and transformation parameters were correlated to each other. This means the concepts of modelling sorption and degradation/transformation were correlated. Thus, it may be difficult in modelling studies to optimise parameter values for these modules. Furthermore, we could show that erroneous pesticide application mass and timing were compensated during Monte-Carlo sampling by changing the half-life of CP. However, the introduction of TCP into the calculation of the objective function was able to enhance the identifiability of pesticide application mass. The GLUE analysis showed that CP and TCP were modelled sufficiently, but CPO modelling failed with high uncertainty and insensitive parameters. We assumed a structural error of the model which was especially important for CPO assessment. This shows there is the possibility that a chemical and some of its TPs can be modelled successfully by a specific model structure, but for other TPs the model structure may not be suitable. Concluding, this study confirmed that the introduction of TPs into pesticide fate and export modelling from hydrological catchments amplifies parameter uncertainty and model structure uncertainty.