Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
7256012 | Technological Forecasting and Social Change | 2016 | 5 Pages |
Abstract
We examine the possibility of predicting the 2015 Greek Referendum results by analyzing data from Google Trends on the 'YES' and 'NO' search terms. Our analysis shows that, despite the voting intention polls of the YES and NO votes being marginally one above the other throughout the prevoting period, the NO hits are clearly and every day above the YES ones, with statistically significant evidence. By analyzing data from Google Trends, we calculate a valid approximation of the final result, thus contributing to the discussion of using Google Trends as an elections' results prediction tool in the future.
Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities
Business, Management and Accounting
Business and International Management
Authors
Amaryllis Mavragani, Konstantinos P. Tsagarakis,