Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
7403367 | Energy Policy | 2014 | 9 Pages |
Abstract
Emissions are examined from 3 major sources: light duty passenger vehicles, residential buildings and commercial/institutional buildings. Logistic diffusion curves are applied for the adoption of alternative vehicle technologies, building retrofits and high performance new building construction. This research devises high, low and business-as-usual estimates of future technological adoption and finds that even aggressive scenarios are not sufficient to achieve an 80% reduction in GHG emissions by 2050. This further highlights the challenges faced in maintaining a relatively stable climate. Urban policy makers must consider that the longer the lag before this transition occurs, the greater the share of GHG emissions mitigation that must addressed through behavioural change in order to meet the 2050 target, which likely poses greater political challenges.
Keywords
Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering
Energy
Energy Engineering and Power Technology
Authors
Eugene A. Mohareb, Christopher A. Kennedy,