Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
7427973 Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review 2017 17 Pages PDF
Abstract
We develop an accurate valuation setup for freight options, featuring an exponential mean-reverting model for the freight rate with distinct reversion scales for its jump and diffusion components. We calibrate to Baltic option prices and analyze the freight rate dynamics. More specifically, we observe that jumps dissipate faster than the diffusive deviations about the equilibrium level. We benchmark against practitioners' model of choice, i.e., the lognormal model, and variants, and find that our approach reduces the pricing error while preserving analytical tractability and computational competence. We also find that neglecting fast mean-reverting jumps leads to nontrivial option mispricings.
Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities Business, Management and Accounting Business and International Management
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