Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
7549673 Statistics & Probability Letters 2014 10 Pages PDF
Abstract
The probability of a stochastic process to first breach an upper and/or a lower level is an important quantity for optimal control and risk management. We present those probabilities for regime switching Brownian motion. In the 2- and 3-state model, the Laplace transform of the (single and double barrier) first-passage times is-up to the roots of a polynomial of degree 4 (respectively 6)-derived in closed-form by solving the matrix Wiener-Hopf factorization.1 This extends single barrier results in the 2-state model by Guo (2001b). If the quotient of drift and variance is constant over all states, we show that the Laplace transform can even be inverted analytically.
Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering Mathematics Statistics and Probability
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