Simulated geomechanical responses to marine methane hydrate recovery using horizontal wells in the Shenhu area, South China Sea

The recovery of natural gas hydrate (NGH) from marine sediments faces challenging due to not only the gas productivity itself but also the possible geohazards, such as seafloor subsidence, submarine landslide, wellbore instability and possible sand production. The coupled thermal-hydrodynamic-mechanical (THM) processes during NGH recovery are generally complex, and numerical simulation tools are needed to assess related geomechanical responses. We have extended the Biot consolidation model in our previous simulator TOUGH2Biot, and incorporated into the existing TOUGH + hydrate code, resulting in a THM simulator for the NGH recovery. The THM simulator is used to assess the geomechanical responses to gas recovery from an unconfined hydrate-bearing sediment (HBS) in the Shenhu area, South China Sea. We investigated depressurization using constant bottom-hole pressure through a horizontal well. Results show that methane production quickly reaches a stabilized state and the water rate increases linearly. The drawdown of pore pressure around the well controls the increase in effective stress. Subsidence becomes significant after depressurization due to the quickly propagation of pore pressure. Depressurization in early stage could contribute to more than half of the total subsidence. The decreasing production pressure leads to an increase in the methane production rate but deterioration in subsidence. A decrease in intrinsic permeability of overlying and underlying layer is undesirable due to its decrease in methane production rate and the worse of subsidence. A balance between gas productivity and related geomechanical response must be achieved. The methods and preliminary results presented in this study could help us to understand the geomechanical behaviors during NGH recovery and to design trial production schemes under similar conditions.