Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
975021 Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 2015 7 Pages PDF
Abstract

•The returns and risks of investment portfolio in stock market crashes were investigated.•Both the maximum dispersion of investment portfolio and an optimal stop-loss position maximally enhance the stability of returns.•A worst dispersion is associated with the maximum risks.•The increasing stop-loss position enhances the risks.

The returns and risks of investment portfolio in stock market crashes are investigated by considering a theoretical model, based on a modified Heston model with a cubic nonlinearity, proposed by Spagnolo and Valenti. Through numerically simulating probability density function of returns and the mean escape time of the model, the results indicate that: (i) the maximum stability of returns is associated with the maximum dispersion of investment portfolio and an optimal stop-loss position; (ii) the maximum risks are related with a worst dispersion of investment portfolio and the risks of investment portfolio are enhanced by increasing stop-loss position. In addition, the good agreements between the theoretical result and real market data are found in the behaviors of the probability density function and the mean escape time.

Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering Mathematics Mathematical Physics
Authors
, , ,