Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
998249 | International Journal of Forecasting | 2007 | 13 Pages |
Abstract
Methods to quantify the quality of a macroeconomic statistical time series are presented. The integrated measures are based on a combination of how predictable the series is and how much its statistics need to be revised. An “information window” based on signal-to-noise ratios provides a snapshot of the quality. A formulation of information in terms of entropy is also considered. Our approach allows testing of whether a forecast or a preliminary value is informative. Concavity and monotonic convergence of information accrual are discussed.
Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities
Business, Management and Accounting
Business and International Management
Authors
Lars-Erik Ãller, Alex Teterukovsky,