Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
998249 International Journal of Forecasting 2007 13 Pages PDF
Abstract
Methods to quantify the quality of a macroeconomic statistical time series are presented. The integrated measures are based on a combination of how predictable the series is and how much its statistics need to be revised. An “information window” based on signal-to-noise ratios provides a snapshot of the quality. A formulation of information in terms of entropy is also considered. Our approach allows testing of whether a forecast or a preliminary value is informative. Concavity and monotonic convergence of information accrual are discussed.
Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities Business, Management and Accounting Business and International Management
Authors
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