Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
998478 International Journal of Forecasting 2007 16 Pages PDF
Abstract

During recent years there has been an increasing awareness of the explanatory power of population age structure variables in economic growth regressions. We estimate a new cross-country regression model of the effects of age structure change on economic growth. We use the new model and recent probabilistic demographic forecasts for India to derive the uncertainty of predicted economic growth rates caused by the uncertainty in demographic developments.

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Social Sciences and Humanities Business, Management and Accounting Business and International Management
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The effects of age structure on economic growth: An application of probabilistic forecasting to India
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