Accuracy in population estimation: A methodological consideration

Accuracy in population estimation from individual measurement has been traditionally a research focus in both theoretical and applied ecology. In forest sciences, estimation of productivity and value recovery of forest products is essential for decision-making to achieve the goal of sustainable forest management. In this paper, we review the basic structure of data in forest sciences, describe commonly used statistical procedures in obtaining population estimates, and examine the accuracy associated with the forest products value estimation using forest inventory data of Manitoba, Canada. Our results suggested that simplified statistical procedures could bring about a wide range of bias in estimating lumber value recovery at the stand level, and improved understanding of stand structure and its reconstruction through computer simulation could be essential in reducing the bias involved in the estimation.