Time-series effective habitat area (EHA) modeling using cost-benefit raster based technique

•Landuse change affects wildlife habitat areal extent, condition and fragmentation.•EHA and CBA were used for assessment of change on habitat as biodiversity surrogates.•Time-series land cover from 1972 to 2009 for the Liverpool Range was used.•Future vegetation condition estimated from current condition, landcover and threats.•For entire change period a pattern of clearing was observed with a decline in EHA.•The habitat conditions were mostly static during the change period.

For successful characterization of ecological processes and prioritization of habitat networks it is necessary to describe and quantify landscape structure and connectivity. However, at landscape scale, it is highly impractical to measure and map all elements of biodiversity, and therefore, biodiversity surrogates are commonly used to represent biodiversity values. Land cover and vegetation are most often used as a biodiversity surrogate. The study investigated how land use change affects the status of the biodiversity surrogates in terms of the loss or gain of habitat (areal extent), loss of habitat condition (degradation) and habitat fragmentation. Effective habitat area (EHA) and raster based cost–benefit analysis (CBA) modeling techniques were used for the assessment of the impact of land use change scenarios on wildlife habitat as biodiversity surrogates. The modeling was carried out on time-series land cover data from 1972 to 2009 for the Liverpool Range of New South Wales (NSW). The model estimated the future condition of vegetation in each and every grid-cell in the region as a function of current condition, existing land cover, and the threatening processes. The results indicated a continuous pattern of clearing in the region, while the habitat conditions were mostly static throughout the study period. There was a decline in EHA after 1993, by 3%. Clearing was identified as the main cause of such decline during the change period.