Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
4499804 | Mathematical Biosciences | 2016 | 18 Pages |
Abstract
Numerical simulations of the reproduction number as a function of concurrency, viral suppression level, and mixing show a reservoir of disease present in both heterosexual and MSM populations. Statistical analysis of parameter values show that viral suppression level, mixing and progression to AIDS without viral suppression have a strong correlation (either positive or negative) with the number of HIV positive women. Concurrency and assortative mixing are shown to be essential to reproduce infection levels in women, as reported by 2010 data from the Center for Disease Control (CDC).
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Authors
K.F. Gurski, K.A. Hoffman,