Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
482029 | European Journal of Operational Research | 2008 | 9 Pages |
Abstract
Most studies of project time estimation assume that (a) activity times are mutually independent random variables; many also assume that (b) path completion times are mutually independent. In this paper, we subject the impact of both these assumptions to close scrutiny. Using tools from multivariate analysis, we make a theoretical study of the direction of the error in the classical PERT method of estimating mean project completion time when correlation is ignored. We also investigate the effect of activity dependence on the normality of path length via simulation.
Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering
Computer Science
Computer Science (General)
Authors
Arunava Banerjee, Anand Paul,