Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
483037 | European Journal of Operational Research | 2007 | 12 Pages |
Abstract
We introduce and analyze a simple model of cycles of violence in which oscillations are generated when surges in lethal violence shrink the pool of active violent offenders. Models with such endogenously induced variation may help explain why historically observed trends in violence are generally not well correlated with exogenous forcing functions, such as changes in the state of the economy. The analysis includes finding the optimal dynamic trajectory of incarceration and violence prevention interventions. Those trajectories yield some surprising results, including situations in which myopic decision makers will invest more in prevention than will far-sighted decision makers.
Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering
Computer Science
Computer Science (General)
Authors
Jonathan P. Caulkins, Gustav Feichtinger, Gernot Tragler, Vladimir M. Veliov,