| Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6370900 | Journal of Theoretical Biology | 2013 | 9 Pages |
Abstract
⺠We propose a method to analyze epidemic models with piecewise constant seasonality. ⺠Square wave forcing has a higher effective seasonal intensity than sinusoidal forcing. ⺠The temporal variation pattern of seasonality influences recurrent outbreak patterns. ⺠A realistic seasonal variation pattern can be successfully analyzed by our method. ⺠Accurate estimations of seasonality from data would be important.
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Authors
Gouhei Tanaka, Kazuyuki Aihara,