Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
6370998 | Journal of Theoretical Biology | 2012 | 8 Pages |
Abstract
⺠Revisit Richards model from SIR model. ⺠Four parameters in either Richards or SIR model are redundant in data fitting. ⺠Propose a constraint to tackle the over fitting problem. ⺠Conduct numerical simulations for real time prediction of several diseases. ⺠Provide stable forecast of final outbreak size and basic reproduction number.
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Agricultural and Biological Sciences (General)
Authors
Xiang-Sheng Wang, Jianhong Wu, Yong Yang,