Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
6539116 | Applied Geography | 2012 | 17 Pages |
Abstract
⺠Method of predicting the risk of agro-meteorological shocks. ⺠Markov chain 1st order transition probabilities are calculated. ⺠Daily rainfall magnitudes are shown to follow the Gamma distribution estimated using mean and variance. ⺠Most likely daily rainfall parameters for certain monthly rainfall totals are calculated. ⺠Findings and flexible approach can be applied by various end-users.
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Authors
Anna M. Szyniszewska, Peter R. Waylen,