Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
7408378 | International Journal of Forecasting | 2015 | 17 Pages |
Abstract
In vector autoregressive analyses, confidence intervals for individual impulse responses are typically reported in order to indicate the sampling uncertainty in the estimation results. Various methods are reviewed, and a new method for the construction of joint confidence bands, given a prespecified coverage level, for the impulse responses at all horizons considered simultaneously, is proposed. The methods are compared in a simulation experiment, and recommendations for empirical work are provided.
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Authors
Helmut Lütkepohl, Anna Staszewska-Bystrova, Peter Winker,