An impact-oriented Early Warning and Bayesian-based Decision Support System for flood risks in Zeebrugge harbour

To reproduce these processes under a EWS environment, an additional challenge is to cope with the limitations of the calculation times. This is especially true with the Boussinesq model. A model train that integrates process-based modelling, for wind generated waves, with a smart simplification of the Boussinesq model for the wave penetration effects, is proposed. These wave conditions together with the extreme water levels (including storm surge) can then be used to simulate the overtopping/overflow behaviour for the quays. Finally, the hydrodynamic model TELEMAC is run for the inundations inside the port facilities. The complete model train was integrated into the Deltares Delft-FEWS software for scenario simulating to showcase the potential for real time operations.