A two-phase model of early fibrous cap formation in atherosclerosis

We develop a multiphase model with non-standard boundary conditions to investigate early fibrous cap formation in the atherosclerotic plaque. The model is parameterised using data from a range of in vitro and in vivo studies, and includes highly nonlinear mechanisms of SMC proliferation and migration in response to an endothelium-derived chemical signal. We demonstrate that the model SMC population naturally evolves towards a steady-state, and predict a rate of cap formation and a final plaque SMC content consistent with experimental observations in mice. Parameter sensitivity simulations show that SMC proliferation makes a limited contribution to cap formation, and demonstrate that stable cap formation relies primarily on a critical balance between the rates of SMC recruitment to the plaque, chemotactic SMC migration within the plaque and SMC loss by apoptosis or phenotype change. This model represents the first detailed in silico study of fibrous cap formation in atherosclerosis, and establishes a multiphase modelling framework that can be readily extended to investigate many other aspects of plaque development.