Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
92212 Journal of Forest Economics 2006 14 Pages PDF
Abstract

We use a Wicksellian single rotation framework to analyze the impact of a stochastic mean-reverting interest rate process on the optimal harvesting threshold and thereby the expected length of the rotation period, when the forest stand value follows a geometric Brownian motion and landowners are risk-averse. We solve explicitly the two-dimensional path-dependent rotation problem and demonstrate that higher interest rate volatility increases, while higher risk aversion decreases, the optimal harvesting threshold. Under risk aversion higher forest value volatility decreases the optimal harvesting threshold, while it has no effect under risk neutrality. Numerical illustrations indicate that higher interest rate volatility will raise the expected rotation period at an increasing rate, while higher forest value volatility will decrease its sensitivity under risk aversion.

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Life Sciences Agricultural and Biological Sciences Agronomy and Crop Science
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