Model for the combined effects of temperature, pH and sodium chloride concentration on survival of Shigella flexneri strain 5348 under aerobic conditions

Shigella is recognized as a major foodborne pathogen; however, relatively few studies have been reported on its growth and survival characteristics, particularly under conditions relevant to food. A fractional factorial design was used to measure the effects and interactions of temperature (4-37 °C), pH (2-6) and NaCl (0.5-9%) on survival kinetics of Shigella flexneri strain 5348 in BHI broth. Stationary-phase cells were inoculated into sterile media to give initial populations of 6-7 log10 CFU/ml and bacterial populations were determined periodically by aerobic plate counts. A total of 267 cultures, representing 83 variable combinations of temperature, pH and NaCl concentration, were analyzed. Survivor curves were fitted from plate count data by means of a two-phase linear model to determine lag times and slopes of the curves, from which decimal reduction times (D-values) and times to a 4-log10 inactivation (t4D) were calculated. Second order response surface models in terms of temperature, initial pH and NaCl concentration were obtained for the inactivation kinetics parameters of S. flexneri using regression analysis. The use of log10 transformation of the inactivation kinetics parameters yielded models with R2 values of >0.8. These models can provide an estimate of Shigella inactivation. The data obtained suggest that Shigella is resistant to acid and salt and that low pH foods stored at low temperatures may serve as vehicles for gastrointestinal illness.