کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
1015448 1482758 2015 12 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Feeding everyone: Solving the food crisis in event of global catastrophes that kill crops or obscure the sun
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
تغذیه همه: حل بحران مواد غذایی در صورت فاجعه جهانی که کشتن محصولات و یا مات کردن خورشید است
کلمات کلیدی
خطر، خطر اخلاقی، باکتری های شیمیایی، صید ماهی، انقراض، سوخت های زیستی سلولز
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی مدیریت، کسب و کار و حسابداری کسب و کار و مدیریت بین المللی
چکیده انگلیسی

Mass human starvation is currently likely if global agricultural production is dramatically reduced for several years following a global catastrophe, e.g. super volcanic eruption, asteroid or comet impact, nuclear winter, abrupt climate change, super weed, extirpating crop pathogen, super bacterium, or super crop pest. This study summarizes the severity and probabilities of such scenarios, and provides an order of magnitude technical analysis comparing caloric requirements of all humans for 5 years with conversion of existing vegetation and fossil fuels to edible food. Here we present mechanisms for global-scale conversion including natural gas-digesting bacteria, extracting food from leaves, and conversion of fiber by enzymes, mushroom or bacteria growth, or a two-step process involving partial decomposition of fiber by fungi and/or bacteria and feeding them to animals such as beetles, ruminants (cattle, sheep, etc.), rats and chickens. We perform an analysis to determine the ramp rates for each option and the results show that careful planning and global cooperation could maintain humanity and the bulk of biodiversity.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Futures - Volume 72, September 2015, Pages 57–68
نویسندگان
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