کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
10442607 | 914890 | 2005 | 14 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
A comparison of Logistic and Harvey models for electricity consumption in New Zealand
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کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی
مدیریت، کسب و کار و حسابداری
کسب و کار و مدیریت بین المللی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
![عکس صفحه اول مقاله: A comparison of Logistic and Harvey models for electricity consumption in New Zealand A comparison of Logistic and Harvey models for electricity consumption in New Zealand](/preview/png/10442607.png)
چکیده انگلیسی
There have been a number of forecasting models based on various forms of the logistic growth curve. This paper investigates the effectiveness of two forms of Harvey models and a Logistic model for forecasting electricity consumption in New Zealand. The three growth curve models are applied to the Domestic and Non-Domestic sectors and Total electricity consumption in New Zealand. The developed models are compared using their goodness of fit to historical data and forecasting accuracy over a period of 19 years. The comparison revealed that the Harvey model is a very appropriate candidate for forecasting electricity consumption in New Zealand. The developed models are also compared with some available national forecasts.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - Volume 72, Issue 8, October 2005, Pages 1030-1043
Journal: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - Volume 72, Issue 8, October 2005, Pages 1030-1043
نویسندگان
Zaid Mohamed, Pat Bodger,