کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
5101018 | 1479103 | 2016 | 12 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Asymmetric loss and rationality of Chinese renminbi forecasts: An implication for the trade between China and the US
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
از دست دادن نامتقارن و عقلانیت پیش بینی های رنمگین چینی: معیار برای تجارت بین چین و ایالات متحده است
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کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی
اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی
اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
چکیده انگلیسی
This study examines the asymmetry of the loss function in Chinese renminbi exchange rate forecasts and tests the rationality of the forecasts, assuming a possibly asymmetric loss function. The results indicate that the majority of forecasters have asymmetric loss adverse to US dollar appreciation and the direction of asymmetry is associated with institutional bases, in particular, those in the US. It is consistent with the facts that RMB is often said to be undervalued and there are political conflicts between China and its largest trade partner, the US. This study also finds evidence of rationality under an asymmetric loss function. It implies that those forecasters efficiently use the information in key exchange rate indicators.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money - Volume 44, September 2016, Pages 116-127
Journal: Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money - Volume 44, September 2016, Pages 116-127
نویسندگان
Yoichi Tsuchiya,