کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
882622 1471588 2016 6 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
An examination of change in dynamic risk of offending over time among serious juvenile offenders
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
بررسی تغییر در ریسک پویای جرم در طول زمان در میان نوجوانان بزهکار جدی
کلمات کلیدی
عدالت برای نوجوانان؛ خطر پویا. ارزیابی ریسک، مجرمان نوجوان؛ بزهکار نوجوان
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی روانشناسی روان شناسی کاربردی
چکیده انگلیسی


• There is a call to consider dynamic risk/need indicators in juvenile assessments.
• We examine how much risk/need indicators change over time and their relation to offending.
• Overall risk scores decrease over time, but not all domains of indicators shifted equivalently.
• Risk indicators were related to later offending, with more recent indicators being more salient.
• Repeated assessment of selected risk indicators would be useful for intervention planning.

PurposeWe examine whether and how much risk/need indicators change over time in a sample of serious adolescent offenders and whether changes in risk are related to self-reported and official record reports of offending in the year following assessment.MethodsGrowth curve and multilevel mixed-effects models are used to examine change through age 18 in a sample of 1354 serious adolescent offenders participating in the Pathways to Desistance Study.ResultsThree primary findings emerge: 1) Compared to the baseline assessment, overall risk/need scores decrease over time. 2) Risk/need does not change in a uniform sequence across domains and time; the form and rate of change differ by domain. 3) Risk/need indicators were related to later offending, with more recent indicators being more powerful for predicting rearrest.ConclusionsThe findings provide empirical support for recent efforts to incorporate routine risk/need assessment into juvenile justice practice. Repeated assessments are likely to identify fluctuations in areas of risk/need that can be used to inform case management and intervention efforts, even for serious offenders.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Criminal Justice - Volume 45, June 2016, Pages 48–53
نویسندگان
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