کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
961598 | 929882 | 2009 | 9 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
The predictive validity of prospect theory versus expected utility in health utility measurement
دانلود مقاله + سفارش ترجمه
دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی
رایگان برای ایرانیان
کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم پزشکی و سلامت
پزشکی و دندانپزشکی
سیاست های بهداشت و سلامت عمومی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
چکیده انگلیسی
Most health care evaluations today still assume expected utility even though the descriptive deficiencies of expected utility are well known. Prospect theory is the dominant descriptive alternative for expected utility. This paper tests whether prospect theory leads to better health evaluations than expected utility. The approach is purely descriptive: we explore how simple measurements together with prospect theory and expected utility predict choices and rankings between more complex stimuli. For decisions involving risk prospect theory is significantly more consistent with rankings and choices than expected utility. This conclusion no longer holds when we use prospect theory utilities and expected utilities to predict intertemporal decisions. The latter finding cautions against the common assumption in health economics that health state utilities are transferable across decision contexts. Our results suggest that the standard gamble and algorithms based on, should not be used to value health.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Health Economics - Volume 28, Issue 6, December 2009, Pages 1039-1047
Journal: Journal of Health Economics - Volume 28, Issue 6, December 2009, Pages 1039-1047
نویسندگان
Jose Maria Abellan-Perpiñan, Han Bleichrodt, Jose Luis Pinto-Prades,