کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
965292 | 1479208 | 2013 | 25 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Sources of time-varying trade balance and real exchange rate dynamics in East Asia
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کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی
اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی
اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
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چکیده انگلیسی
A sticky-price model with minimal assumptions for identification is used to motivate a time-varying model that allows for state dependent innovations to explore the trade balance dynamics of a group of East Asian economies. This paper shows that the correlation between the trade balance and the real exchange has historically been highly conditional on the type of macroeconomic shock. Permanent (transitory) shocks have historically produced a positive (negative) correlation between the trade balance and real exchange rate over the last 20Â years. Second, since the Asian financial crisis the real exchange rate dynamics of the East Asian countries have been dominated by persistent component(s), while the dynamics of the trade balance have been more influenced by transitory factors.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of the Japanese and International Economies - Volume 29, September 2013, Pages 117-141
Journal: Journal of the Japanese and International Economies - Volume 29, September 2013, Pages 117-141
نویسندگان
Sohrab Rafiq,