Keywords: C13; C32; C53; E17; Systemic risk contribution; Risk rankings; Forecast combination; Financial regulation; Banking supervision;
مقالات ISI (ترجمه نشده)
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Keywords: C53; E17; E27; E37; F17EOS, end-of-sample vintage; FOMC, Federal Open Market Committee; MDE, mean directional error; RTV, real-time vintageBayesian model averaging; Federal Open Market Committee; Forecast accuracy; Greenbook; National income and product a
Keywords: Q41; Q47; E17; Saudi Arabia; General equilibrium; Shale oil;
Impaired Organization of GABAergic Neurons Following Prenatal Hypoxia
Keywords: BrdU; bromodeoxyuridine; CB; calbindin; E17; embryonic day 17; IR; immunoreactive; IZ; intermediate zone; MZ; marginal zone; PFA; paraformaldehyde; POA; preoptic area; PV; parvalbumin; RSGc; retrosplenial granular cortex; SVZ; subventricular zone; materna
Natural gas consumption forecast with MARS and CMARS models for residential users
Keywords: C02; C53; C6; C61; C14; E17; Natural gas consumption; Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines; Conic Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines; Conic Quadratic Programming; Multiple Linear Regression; Neural Network; One-day ahead forecasting;
The impact of credit supply shocks and a new Financial Conditions Index based on a FAVAR approach
Keywords: C32; C38; C58; E17; G21; Dynamic factor model; Financial conditions index; Credit supply shocks; Time-varying parameter VAR;
Reporting errors in the I/B/E/S earnings forecast database: J. Doe vs. J. Doe
Keywords: Financial analysts; Earnings forecasts; I/B/E/S database; Reporting errors; Namesakes; C8; E17; G00; G24;
Real-time forecast evaluation of DSGE models with stochastic volatility
Keywords: E17; E27; E37; E47; Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model; Prediction; Stochastic volatility;
Estimating and forecasting the real prices of crude oil: A data rich model using a dynamic model averaging (DMA) approach
Keywords: C11; C32; C53; E17; E31; E37; Q47; Q41; Forecasting oil prices; Model uncertainty; Parameter uncertainty;
Directional analysis of fiscal sustainability: Revisiting Domar's debt sustainability condition
Keywords: C53; E17; H68; Government forecasts; Debt sustainability; Forecast evaluation; Market-timing test; Nonparametric methods;
Striated Metropolis-Hastings sampler for high-dimensional models
Keywords: C32; C63; E17; Dynamic striation adjustments; Simultaneous equations; Monetary policy; Inflation coefficient; Winding ridges; Multiple peaks; Independent striated draws; Irregular posterior distribution; Importance weights; Tempered likelihood; Effective
Effects of incorrect specification on the finite sample properties of full and limited information estimators in DSGE models
Keywords: FIML; (CU)GMM; Finite sample bias; Misspecification; Monte Carlo; DSGE; C26; C36; C51; E17;
Private credit spillovers and economic growth: Evidence from BRICS countries
Keywords: C23; E17; F36; O11; International financial development spillovers; Economic growth; Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) model; Global interdependencies; BRICS;
Global prediction of recessions
Keywords: C53; E17; E37; F41; F47; GVAR; Recession forecast; QPS; Probability forecast;
Low-income countries' linkages to BRICS: Are there growth spillovers?
Keywords: C32; E17; F47; Spillovers; Low-income countries; BRICS; Global VAR;
Solvability of perturbation solutions in DSGE models
Keywords: C61; C63; E17; Perturbation; DSGE; Nonlinear; Sylvester equations; Solvability; Bézout׳s theorem;
D-GMDH: A novel inductive modelling approach in the forecasting of the industrial economy
Keywords: C45; E17; L16; Economic forecasting; Noise; GMDH; Diversity;
A structural VAR analysis of the impact of macroeconomic shocks on Pakistan's textile exports
Keywords: F1; F14; E17; Exports; Textiles; VAR; Pakistan;
Monetary policy channels in Brazil through the lens of a semi-structural model
Keywords: E17; E52; C51; Monetary policy transmission mechanism; Semi-structural model; Brazil;
Solving DSGE models with a nonlinear moving average
Keywords: C61; C63; E17; Perturbation; Nonlinear impulse response; DSGE; Solution methods; Volterra series;
An agent-based modelling approach to housing market regulations and Airbnb-induced tourism
Keywords: Airbnb; Rental markets; Agent-based model; C69; E17; R31;
Consumer confidence as a predictor of consumption spending: Evidence for the United States and the Euro area
Keywords: C32; E17; F37; F42Consumer confidence; Consumption; International linkages; Non-linear modeling
Welfare-improving government behavior and inequality in a heterogeneous agents model
Keywords: E17; E60; H60; I30Debt; Government budget composition; Heterogeneous agent model; Idiosyncratic shock; Inequality; Welfare
Systemic risk and the refinancing ratchet effect
Keywords: Systemic risk; Financial crisis; Household finance; Real estate; Subprime mortgageG01; G13; G18; G21; E17; R28
Oil exports and the Iranian economy
Keywords: C32; C53; E17; F43; F47; Q32Growth models; Long-run relations; Oil exporters; Iranian economy; Oil price and foreign output shocks; Error-correcting relations
Financial conditions indexes for the United States and euro area
Keywords: E5; E17; E44; Financial conditions; Short-term forecasting; Real-time data;
Empirical determination of aggregate demand and supply curves: The example of the RWI Business Cycle Model
Keywords: C52; C53; E12; E17; AS AD; IS LM model; Econometric modelling; Macroeconometrics; Simulation;
Real-time forecasts of economic activity for Latin American economies
Keywords: C51; C53; E17; Nowcasting; Short-term forecasting; Real-time data; Latin America;
The limited usefulness of macroeconomic Bayesian VARs when estimating the probability of a US recession
Keywords: E17; Predictive density; Fan chart; Leading indicator; Survey data;
Artisanal and small-scale gold mining in Burkina Faso: Suggestion of multi-agent methodology as a complementary support in elaborating a policy
Keywords: A12; D04; E17; Q38; C54Mining; Methodology; Modelling; Simulation; Multi-Agent; Policy Making
Demographic change, human capital and welfare
Keywords: C68; E17; E25; J11; J24Population aging; Human capital; Rate of return; Distribution of welfare
Is the oil price pass-through in India any different?
Keywords: E17; E23; E52; F43Oil price shock; Pass-through; Inflation; Phillips curve; Generalised VAR
Assessing the effects of financial heterogeneity in a monetary union a DSGE approach
Keywords: E17; E32; E44; E52; Financial heterogeneity; Bank capital channel; DSGE model; Euro Area;
Informal sector, income inequality and economic development
Keywords: 011; 015; 017; 030; E17; Income inequality; Kuznets curve; Informal sector; Simulation;
Fiscal consolidation with high growth: A policy simulation model for India
Keywords: C32; E10; E17; E60; H60; Macroeconomic modelling; Policy simulation; Fiscal policy; India;
The OECD's new global model
Keywords: E17; F01; F47; Global; Macroeconomics; Econometric modelling; Simulation;
Health insurance reform and economic growth: Simulation analysis in Japan
Keywords: C68; D58; E17; E62; H51; H55; H62; I18; O40; Public health insurance; Japan; National medical expenditure; Economic growth; Aging population; Dynamic CGE model;
Adaptive expectations and cobweb phenomena: Does heterogeneity matter?
Keywords: Heterogeneous expectations; Bounded rationality; Stability of steady states; Market integration; Evolutionary dynamics; D83; D84; E17; E32;
Towards expenditure rules and fiscal sanity in the euro area
Keywords: E17; E61; E65; H50; H60Expenditure policies; Public debt; Expenditure rules; Sustainability; Fiscal stance
Real-time analysis on Japan's labor productivity
Keywords: E17; O47; Real-time data; Productivity; SNA; Monetary policy; Survey data;
Timing of innovation policies when carbon emissions are restricted: An applied general equilibrium analysis
Keywords: E17; H23; O38; Q55Applied general equilibrium; Carbon emissions; Endogenous growth; Research and development
Macro factors in oil futures returns1
Keywords: C22; C32; G15; E17; Crude Oil Futures; Large Approximate Factor Models; Macro Determinants; C22; C32; G15; E17; Marché à terme du pétrole; modèles à facteurs approximés; déterminants macroéconomiques;
An empirical investigation of the informational efficiency of the GCC equity markets: Evidence from bootstrap simulation
Keywords: E17; C32; The efficient market hypothesis; Oil; Gold; Bootstrap test; Equity market; GCC;
Stress-testing euro area corporate default probabilities using a global macroeconomic model
Keywords: C32; E17; F47; H81; G33Global VAR; Expected Default Frequencies; Corporate sector credit risk; Macro-stress-testing
Stabilization bias for a small open economy: The case of New Zealand
Keywords: C15; C51; E17; E61; Stabilization bias; DSGE models; Bayesian estimation; Small open economy;
A flexible approach to parametric inference in nonlinear and time varying time series models
Keywords: C11; C22; E17; Bayesian; Structural break; Threshold autoregressive; Regime switching; State space model;
EMU and the Lucas Critique
Keywords: C32; C35; E17; F15; F42; EMU; Lucas Critique; Euro; GVAR;
Assessing the impact of the 2004 Olympic Games on the Greek economy: A small macroeconometric model
Keywords: C3; C51; C52; E17; Macroeconometric model; Cointegration; Forecasting; Major sporting events; Olympic Games; Greece;
The relation between the speed of demand saturation and the dynamism of the labour market
Keywords: E17; E24; O33; O41Speed of demand saturation; Stochastically multi-sectoral model; Growth of real wage rate; Product and process innovation
On linking microsimulation and computable general equilibrium models using exact aggregation of heterogeneous discrete-choice making agents
Keywords: C63; C68; C81; D31; D58; E17; J10; J22; Microsimulation; CGE models; Exact aggregation; Discrete choice; Nested multinomial logit; Population ageing; Income inequality;