کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی ترجمه فارسی نسخه تمام متن
4959457 1364862 2018 14 صفحه PDF ندارد دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله
Risk analysis and decision theory: A bridge
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
تجزیه و تحلیل ریسک و نظریه تصمیم: یک پل
کلمات کلیدی
تجزیه و تحلیل تصمیم؛ تحلیل ریسک؛ تئوری تصمیم؛ عدم اطمینان معرفتی؛
Decision analysis; Risk analysis; Decision theory; Epistemic uncertainty;
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی کامپیوتر علوم کامپیوتر (عمومی)
چکیده انگلیسی

•Creates a connection between risk analysis and decision theory.•Paves the way to the use of modern decision criteria in system risk assessment.•All formats of Kaplan and Garrick’s risk triplets have a decision theory counterpart.•Promote exchanges between two fields that benefit decision analysis practice.

The risk-triplet approach pioneered by Kaplan and Garrick is the keystone of operational risk analysis. We perform a sharp embedding of the elements of this framework into the one of formal decision theory, which is mainly concerned with the methodological and modeling issues of decision making. The aim of this exercise is twofold: on the one hand, it gives operational risk analysis a direct access to the rich toolbox that decision theory has developed, in the last decades, in order to deal with complex layers of uncertainty; on the other, it exposes decision theory to the challenges of operational risk analysis, thus providing it with broader scope and new stimuli.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: European Journal of Operational Research - Volume 264, Issue 1, 1 January 2018, Pages 280-293
نویسندگان
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