کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
5064605 1476719 2014 14 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Decision-support tool for assessing future nuclear reactor generation portfolios
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
ابزار تصمیم گیری برای ارزیابی پرتفوی نسل آینده راکتور هسته ای
کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی انرژی انرژی (عمومی)
چکیده انگلیسی


- Decisions to continue or abandon the construction of NPPs
- Mean-variance portfolio of nuclear reactors
- Sensitivity study of mean-variance portfolio of nuclear reactors

Capital costs, fuel, operation and maintenance (O&M) costs, and electricity prices play a key role in the economics of nuclear power plants. Often standardized reactor designs are required to be locally adapted, which often impacts the project plans and the supply chain. It then becomes difficult to ascertain how these changes will eventually reflect in costs, which makes the capital costs component of nuclear power plants uncertain. Different nuclear reactor types compete economically by having either lower and less uncertain construction costs, increased efficiencies, lower and less uncertain fuel cycles and O&M costs etc. The decision making process related to nuclear power plants requires a holistic approach that takes into account the key economic factors and their uncertainties. We here present a decision-support tool that satisfactorily takes into account the major uncertainties in the cost elements of a nuclear power plant, to provide an optimal portfolio of nuclear reactors. The portfolio so obtained, under our model assumptions and the constraints considered, maximizes the combined returns for a given level of risk or uncertainty. These decisions are made using a combination of real option theory and mean-variance portfolio optimization.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Energy Economics - Volume 44, July 2014, Pages 99-112
نویسندگان
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