Modernization Management as the Problem of Guaranteed Control-Estimation for Hierarchical System

Decision-making in practice of industrial enterprises forms a significant field for mathematical modeling of behavior in complex market environment. Chaotic market effects lead to necessity of the research in terms of uncertainty. The efficient tool at the disposal of production managers is a reduction of standard variable costs by means of upgrading and modernization. A range of mathematical approaches for evaluation and optimization of investment projects is investigated. Features of engineering industry, such as comparatively long cycle of design and manufacturing, high competition, allow to formulate optimization problems within a guaranteed approach. In the paper the model of modernization management for high-tech machine building enterprise are considered. Mathematical description is based on the theory of guaranteed control and estimation for hierarchic (i)-systems. Heredity and correspondence of the optimization problems for the subsystems of different levels are examined. The results of computer simulation are discussed.