کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
7470788 | 1485138 | 2018 | 11 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Mapping hypothermia death vulnerability in Korea
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
نقشه برداری آسیب پذیری مرگ و میر در کره
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کلمات کلیدی
هیپوترمی، رگرسیون عمومی، آسیب پذیری نقشه برداری،
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
علوم زمین و سیارات
فیزیک زمین (ژئو فیزیک)
چکیده انگلیسی
Despite largely indisputable evidence of global warming, abnormally cold temperatures frequently affect regions of the Northern hemisphere. As a result of cold, several countries have sustained considerable property damage and numerous human fatalities. To reduce mortality from cold-related events, this study aims to analyze the vulnerability of people who die as a result of cold temperatures. The data used for the analysis is comprised of cold-related mortality statistics and 20 variables. We define cold-related deaths as those attributable to hypothermia during the winter and broadly classify the 20 variables, as they relate to climate, demographics, and socioeconomic factors, into three categories: exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity. From the 20 variables, we enter three of them (i.e., aging rate, financial reliance, and the number of days below â10â¯â) into a generalized linear regression model, accounting for statistical correlation and multicollinearity, to estimate the spatial distribution of cold-related deaths. The resulting correlation coefficient for the final model is approximately 0.82. Then, from the final model, we adopt estimated values to construct a hypothermia death vulnerability map and find that the sociodemographic distribution has a greater effect on hypothermia vulnerability than climate exposure and that residents of rural areas are more vulnerable than those of urban areas. The hypothermia death vulnerability map could be a useful scientific tool for future cold-related disaster management decisions and policies, which should ultimately reduce the number of human fatalities.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction - Volume 31, October 2018, Pages 668-678
Journal: International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction - Volume 31, October 2018, Pages 668-678
نویسندگان
Sang-Jin Park, Do-Woo Kim, Ravinesh C. Deo, Jong-Seol Lee,