کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
8876831 1623769 2018 9 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Epidemic spreading dynamics with drug resistance and heterogeneous contacts
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
پویایی گسترش اپیدمی با مقاومت دارویی و تماس های
کلمات کلیدی
همهگیرشناسی، پویایی شبکه، مقاومت در برابر مواد مخدر، تئوری توزیع مبتنی بر لبه،
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم زیستی و بیوفناوری علوم کشاورزی و بیولوژیک علوم کشاورزی و بیولوژیک (عمومی)
چکیده انگلیسی
Drug resistance and strong contacts actually play crucial roles in epidemic spread in complex systems. Nevertheless, neither theoretical model or methodology is proposed to address this. We thus consider an edge-based epidemic spread model considering the two key ingredients, in which the contacts are grouped into two classes: strong contacts and normal ones. Next, we present a unified edge-based compartmental approach to the spread dynamics on Erdös-Rényi (ER) networks and validate its results by extensive numerical simulations. In case that epidemic is totally drug-resistant, we both numerically and theoretically show a continuous growth of epidemics with infection probability when number of strong contacts is not enough for the emergence of null threshold. If the epidemic owns partial resistance, we would observe evident discontinuous growth with infection probability (discontinuous transitions) and larger final epidemic sizes for few strong contacts, instead of emergence of null threshold with increase of strong contacts. Inhibiting effect of infection threshold, positive roles of strong contacts and strength of strong contacts in promoting outbreaks are also approved. Throughout this paper, we could drive exact predictions through the analytical approach, showing good agreements with numerical simulations.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Theoretical Biology - Volume 441, 14 March 2018, Pages 19-27
نویسندگان
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