کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
976578 1480122 2016 12 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Persistence and extinction for a class of stochastic SIS epidemic models with nonlinear incidence rate
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
پایداری و انقراض برای یک کلاس از مدل های اپیدمی SIS تصادفی با میزان بروز غیرخطی
کلمات کلیدی
مدل اپیدمی SIS تصادفی؛ مقدار آستانه؛ انقراض؛ ماندگاری؛ شبیه سازی عددی
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه ریاضیات فیزیک ریاضی
چکیده انگلیسی


• Stochastic SIS model with nonlinear incidence rate is established by perturbing transmission coefficient.
• The threshold value R˜0 is obtained to determine extinction and weak permanence of the disease in probability.
• The sufficient condition on permanence in the mean of the disease with probability one is showed.
• Numerical simulations are presented to illustrate some open problems.

In this paper, a class of stochastic SIS epidemic models with nonlinear incidence rate is investigated. It is shown that the extinction and persistence of the disease in probability are determined by a threshold value R˜0. That is, if R˜0<1 and an additional condition holds then disease dies out, and if R˜0>1 then disease is weak permanent with probability one. To obtain the permanence in the mean of the disease, a new quantity R̂0 is introduced, and it is proved that if R̂0>1 the disease is permanent in the mean with probability one. Furthermore, the numerical simulations are presented to illustrate some open problems given in Remarks 1–3 and 5 of this paper.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications - Volume 451, 1 June 2016, Pages 507–518
نویسندگان
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