کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
1015474 1482761 2015 19 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Review of fossil fuels and future energy technologies
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
بررسی سوخت های فسیلی و فناوری های انرژی آینده
کلمات کلیدی
اوج نفت؛ تغییر آب و هوا؛ بحران انرژی؛ انتقال انرژی؛ آینده انرژی
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی مدیریت، کسب و کار و حسابداری کسب و کار و مدیریت بین المللی
چکیده انگلیسی


• Oil, gas and coal production rates would continue rising till 2017, 2025 and 2055.
• Energy demand would increase from 12.5 GTOE today to 25 GTOE by 2035.
• CO2 emissions would increase from 38 Gt CO2/year today to 75 Gt CO2/year by 2035.
• Fischer Tropsch Syncrude, hydrogen and nuclear fusion are potential future energy technologies.
• CO2 and H2O based fuels may facilitate the energy transition process.

Fossil fuels production peaks, declines and depletions depend on their proved reserves, exploration and consumption rates. Worldwide proven oil, gas and coal reserves are 1688 billion barrels (Bb), 6558 trillion cubic feet (TCF) and 891 billion tons (Bt) being consumed at rates of 0.092 Bb, 0.329 TCF and 7.89 BT per day, respectively. The oil, gas and coal reserves are increasing at the rate of 600 million barrels (Mb), 400 billion cubic feet (BCF) and 19.2 Giga tons of oil equivalents (GTOE) per year. While the rate of annual increase in consumption of oil, gas and coal is 1.4 Mb, 4.5 BCF and 3.1 million tons (Mt). Global annual energy demand of over 12 billion tons of oil equivalent (BTOE) results in the emission of 39.5 Giga tons of carbon dioxide (Gt-CO2), and the annual CO2 emission would increase up to 75 Gt-CO2 when future energy demand will rise to 24–25 BTOE. Oil, gas and coal may continue to exist for next several decades, yet the energy transition to low carbon intensity fuels is necessary to cope with rampant climate change. Renewable and alternative energy sources hold key to the solution of twin problems, energy and climate change, with a high initial investment. Transition from fossil fuels to sustainable and renewable energy resources of 150 Petawatt hours (PWh) requires major investment and innovatory technologies. Perhaps CO2 and H2O based fuel systems would facilitate climate change and grand energy transition. An energy mix consisting of fossil fuels, hydrogen, bio-fuels, and renewable energy sources seems to be a good initiative. This paper reviews evidence of hydrocarbons decline scenarios and timelines of future energy technologies.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Futures - Volume 69, May 2015, Pages 31–49
نویسندگان
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