Transformative foresight: Universiti Sains Malaysia leads the way

This article describes Universiti Sains Malaysia's foresight journey. It begins by exploring five alternative scenarios of higher education: (1) The A’ la Carte University, (2) The Invisible University, (3) The Corporate University, (4) The State University, and (5) The University in The Garden. These scenarios are followed by Universiti Sains Malaysia's preferred vision of the future. It then examines the journey towards the preferred visión by articulating four stages of transformation: visioning, contesting, dynamic equilibrium, and self-direction/externalisation. The article concludes with an analysis of USM's current position, in transition between the contestation and dynamic equilibrium stages.

► USM scenario building is based on two key future uncertainties: the extent of intellectual freedom and how learning environment would change.
► Based on causal layered analysis and narrative foresight, a preferred vision appeared: symbiotically sustainable study space where nature, technology and flexibility co-exist.
► USM is in transition between contesting and balancing stages of organizational transformation.
► Whether USM innovation breeds more innovation depends on six patterns of process disruption.