Evaluating a Long-Term Livable Communities Strategy in the U.S.

What are the requirements for successful, long-term, livable community strategies in the US? In early 2007, the Institute for Alternative Futures (IAF) was commissioned to offer a forward-looking review of the Livable Communities strategy of AARP, originally, the American Association of Retired Persons (with 37 million members, AARP is the largest non-profit organization in the US) [1]. This article summarizes the process and results of that project. It constitutes a case study in the evaluation of a large organization's plans from a strategic foresight perspective. Findings from this investigation suggest that many large-scale trends in the U.S., including urban sprawl, rising energy costs, climate change, and fiscal challenges are likely to work against efforts to make communities more livable. On the basis of these findings, IAF recommended that the association take a broad approach to livability, developing strategies that counter these negative trends while also improving the lives of older people. AARP is one of the best suited organizations to make such a long-term commitment.

► Large scale trends in U.S. work against efforts to make communities more livable.
► AARP's livable communities strategy objectives were too narrow and short term.
► IAF recommends AARP take a broad approach including strategies closest to its mission and core competencies.
► AARP should promote energy efficiency and the reshaping of urban development patterns.
► To smart growth, transit-oriented development, and community sustainability.