کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
1016118 939926 2009 8 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Tomorrow will die
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی مدیریت، کسب و کار و حسابداری کسب و کار و مدیریت بین المللی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Tomorrow will die
چکیده انگلیسی
Human beings' resilience to extinction is much higher than what is usually imagined. Almost no single event, except a sudden burst of the planet, seems able to drive the species to death. However a chain of events such as those created by climate change or the intertwined threads of current trends, amplified by some inadequacy of human beings to cope with reality (inefficiency, apathy, underestimation, politician considerations, etc.), could challenge our survival. This paper aims to provide such a set of multiple events, interconnected or independent, evolving over a rather short period of time, 150 years. This period can seem unrealistic to drive to a plausible extinction. Yet this was a condition to set up a situation as realistic as possible, based on current facts and extrapolations. More or less 50 years in the timeline make no difference in the coherence of this evolution. The choice has been done to work out this scenario with the help of no new element, no radical rupture, nothing that would be unknown today, at least in theory. Thus, this future is a very possible one. Whether it is an about-to-happen one or not is left to the reader's judgement. Whether human beings will react this way in case it would happen is just our daily responsibility.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Futures - Volume 41, Issue 10, December 2009, Pages 746-753
نویسندگان
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